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The Latest Cheating Scandal
Mike Scott Wrote:So often in life we are easily deceived by false statistics - often because they are incorrect. If the odds PRIOR to an event are 1 in 10,000 that a specific player scores as this player did then if you are looking with hindsight you are really asking the question what are the odds of ANY 2200+ player putting in such a performance. If there are 1000 such players playing 10 events a year then the odds are 1 i.e. a certainty.

Just to be annoying... With the numbers you've given, the odds of at least one 2200 player would be a little over 63%. But I get the point you're making =).

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